SoranoAI

Resources

Making the forecasts behind your decisions better.

Plain guides on forecast accuracy and prediction infrastructure, across the domains businesses actually forecast.

Forecasting

How to improve forecast accuracy without replacing your models

Your model was right on day one. Then the world moved on. How to keep it sharp without a rebuild.

AI agents

Giving AI agents forecasts they can actually trust

An agent that reasons well on a stale forecast still gets it wrong. How to feed agents forecasts they can trust.

Forecasting

Continuous forecast improvement used to need a team you could not afford

Keeping forecasts sharp has always needed a big in-house team. We are making the same method available to everyone.

Infrastructure

Forecasting has always been built one industry at a time

Forecasting tools have always been built vertical by vertical. We are the industry-agnostic layer the AI era makes possible.

Energy

Keeping energy price forecasts sharp when the market will not sit still

In power markets a forecast miss is a mispriced bid. How to keep price forecasts sharp as the grid shifts.

Energy

Forecasting natural gas when every driver keeps moving

Weather, storage, LNG, production. How to keep natural gas supply and demand forecasts accurate as the drivers shift.

Weather

HDD and CDD forecasting: small misses, big bills

Degree days drive gas, power and retail demand. Why HDD/CDD forecasts drift and how to keep them honest.

Weather

Making long-range weather forecasts actually useful

The 2 to 6 week window is shaky but valuable. How to make long-range weather forecasts reliable enough to plan on.

Sales

Why your sales forecast falls apart by week eight

Tidy in week one, fiction by week eight. How to keep sales and pipeline forecasts honest through the quarter.

Marketing

Marketing forecasts go stale faster than almost anything

Channels fatigue, CAC creeps, seasonality bites. How to keep marketing spend and lead forecasts current.

Supply chain

In supply chains, a stale forecast has a price tag

Stockouts or dead inventory, a stale demand forecast causes both. How to keep supply chain forecasts accurate.

Markets

Market models work, until the regime changes under you

Market models work until the regime shifts. How to keep price and volatility forecasts aligned with now.

Insurance

Pricing risk against a world that keeps moving

Loss patterns shift with weather, inflation and behavior. How to keep claims and risk forecasts current.

Demand

Demand forecasting is hardest exactly where it matters most

Aggregate looks fine; SKU level is a mess. How to keep granular demand forecasts accurate as behavior shifts.

Insurance

What a better loss forecast is actually worth to an insurer

Forecast accuracy shows up straight in the loss ratio. What sharper loss and claims forecasts are worth.

Energy

Putting a dollar figure on sharper energy forecasts

On a desk, forecast accuracy turns into money fast. What sharper energy forecasts are actually worth.

Sales

The hidden cost of a sales forecast that is always a little off

A missed sales forecast drives hiring, spend and inventory the wrong way. What accuracy is really worth.

Marketing

What marketing leaves on the table when the forecast is stale

Marketing forecasts decide where budget goes. What accuracy is worth when channels move weekly.